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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
19 Jul 2024 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 58%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 0% to 81% during the match (Northamptonshire: 19% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Vasconceloscaught · Matthew Hurst · Luke Wells 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Hurst · b Luke Wells | 36 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 156.52 |
| Matthew Breetzkecaught · Chris Green · Luke Wells 7 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Chris Green · b Luke Wells | 76 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 245.16 |
| Saif Zaiblbw · Liam Livingstone 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Liam Livingstone | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Ravi Boparalbw · Saqib Mahmood1 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Saqib Mahmood | 36 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 150.00 |
 |
| caught · Steven Croft · b George Dockrell |
| 26 |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 136.84 |
 Ashton Agarnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 7* | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Lewis McManuscaught · Luke Wells · Liam Livingstone 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Wells · b Liam Livingstone | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Gus Millernot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 2 |
 Saqib Mahmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 11.18 | 3 | 0 |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
 George Dockrell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-102 (Ricardo Vasconcelos, 7.5) · 2-118 (Matthew Breetzke, 9.2) · 3-130 (Saif Zaib, 10.4) · 4-189 (David Willey, 16.4) · 5-191 (Ravi Bopara, 17.4) · 6-192 (Lewis McManus, 18.1)
Recorded target: 202 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 48/0 |
| 5 | 18 | 66/0 |
| 6 | 19 | 85/0 |
| 7 | 14 | 99/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 102/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 117/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 123/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 131/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 136/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 148/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 157/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 168/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 176/3 |
| 17 | 13 | 189/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 192/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 203/6 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Steven Croft: AMBerry · CC BY-SA 3.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Gus Miller: Dave Morton · Public domain
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Dockrell: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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