OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
New Zealand Women tour of England · 2026 · Women
10 May 2026 · ODI
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
New Zealand started on 18%; New Zealand batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Suzie Batescaught · Amy Jones · Lauren Filer1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Jones · b Lauren Filer | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Georgia Plimmercaught · Lauren Bell · Matilda Corteen-Coleman 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lauren Bell · b Matilda Corteen-Coleman | 20 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 58.82 |
 Amelia Kerrcaught · Lauren Bell · Jodi Grewcock3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lauren Bell · b Jodi Grewcock | 55 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 67.07 |
 Maddy Greencaught · Danielle Gibson · Matilda Corteen-Coleman9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danielle Gibson |
New Zealand's chances ranged from 2% to 37% during the match (England: 63% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 88 |
| 107 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 82.24 |
| Brooke Hallidaylbw · Charlie Dean 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Charlie Dean | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Izzy Gazecaught · Amy Jones · Danielle Gibson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Jones · b Danielle Gibson | 11 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 52.38 |
|---|
| Izzy Sharpstumped · Amy Jones · Lauren Bell 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amy Jones · b Lauren Bell | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Jess Kerrbowled · Charlie Dean 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Charlie Dean | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Nensi Patellbw · Lauren Bell 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lauren Bell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Rosemary Mairnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Bree Illingrun out · Freya Kemp, Lauren Bell · Lauren Bell 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Freya Kemp, Lauren Bell | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Bell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.4 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 3.93 | 0 | 0 |
 Lauren Filer0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 4.30 | 3 | 0 |
| Matilda Corteen-Coleman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 2 | 4.90 | 1 | 0 |
 Danielle Gibson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 4.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Charlie Dean0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jodi Grewcock0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 4.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-7 (Suzie Bates, 1.5) · 2-42 (Georgia Plimmer, 11.2) · 3-147 (Amelia Kerr, 34.2) · 4-158 (Brooke Halliday, 37.1) · 5-183 (Izzy Gaze, 42.1) · 6-203 (Maddy Green, 45.3) · 7-205 (Izzy Sharp, 46.3) · 8-205 (Nensi Patel, 46.4) · 9-207 (Jess Kerr, 47.3) · 10-210 (Bree Illing, 48.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 23/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 32/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 37/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 39/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 42/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 48/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 57/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 61/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 64/2 |
| 17 | 9 | 73/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 79/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 85/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 86/2 |
| 21 | 1 | 87/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 90/2 |
| 23 | 6 | 96/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 98/2 |
| 25 | 6 | 104/2 |
| 26 | 3 | 107/2 |
| 27 | 4 | 111/2 |
| 28 | 3 | 114/2 |
| 29 | 7 | 121/2 |
| 30 | 7 | 128/2 |
| 31 | 4 | 132/2 |
| 32 | 1 | 133/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 136/2 |
| 34 | 10 | 146/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 149/3 |
| 36 | 6 | 155/3 |
| 37 | 3 | 158/3 |
| 38 | 5 | 163/4 |
| 39 | 3 | 166/4 |
| 40 | 5 | 171/4 |
| 41 | 7 | 178/4 |
| 42 | 5 | 183/4 |
| 43 | 3 | 186/5 |
| 44 | 8 | 194/5 |
| 45 | 7 | 201/5 |
| 46 | 3 | 204/6 |
| 47 | 2 | 206/8 |
| 48 | 1 | 207/9 |
| 49 | 3 | 210/10 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
