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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
19 Jul 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 34%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Surrey: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyebowled · Tom Lawes 6 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Tom Lawes | 61 | 31 | 6 | 4 | 196.77 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Tom Lawes · Matt Dunn6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tom Lawes · b Matt Dunn | 58 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 156.76 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Cameron Steel · Matt Dunn5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Cameron Steel · b Matt Dunn | 37 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 217.65 |
 Marcus O'Riordancaught · Jamie Overton · Cameron Steel0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Cameron Steel | 6 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
 Jack Leaningnot out2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 33* | 17 | 2 | 2 | 194.12 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersbowled · Daniel Lawrence 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Lawrence | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Joey Evisonnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 15* | 9 | 0 | 1 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Dunn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Lawes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 53 | 1 | 13.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Cameron Steel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 2 |
1-108 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 10.1) · 2-135 (Tawanda Muyeye, 12.3) · 3-162 (Sam Billings, 15.0) · 4-170 (Marcus O'Riordan, 15.5) · 5-171 (Tom Rogers, 16.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 41/0 |
| 6 | 23 | 64/0 |
| 7 | 15 | 79/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 84/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 93/0 |
| 10 | 15 | 108/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 112/1 |
| 12 | 19 | 131/1 |
| 13 | 13 | 144/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 152/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 162/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 170/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 175/5 |
| 18 | 13 | 188/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 201/5 |
| 20 | 16 | 217/5 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rory Burns: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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