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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
19 Jul 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 34%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Surrey: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jacksbowled · Nathan Gilchrist3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Gilchrist | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 181.82 |
 Dominic Sibleycaught · Jack Leaning · Jas Singh2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Leaning · b Jas Singh | 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 200.00 |
 Rory Burnscaught · Harry Finch · Marcus O'Riordan3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Finch · b Marcus O'Riordan | 21 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 131.25 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Harry Finch · Jack Leaning1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Harry Finch · b Jack Leaning |
| 17 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 130.77 |
 Sam Currancaught · Jack Leaning · Matt Parkinson0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Leaning · b Matt Parkinson | 24 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 126.32 |
|---|
| Laurie Evanscaught · Nathan Gilchrist · Matt Parkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Gilchrist · b Matt Parkinson | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Jamie Overtonbowled · Jack Leaning0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jack Leaning | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Chris Jordancaught · Tawanda Muyeye · Matt Parkinson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tawanda Muyeye · b Matt Parkinson | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Cameron Steelnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Tom Lawescaught · Sam Billings · Jas Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Jas Singh | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Matt Dunncaught · Marcus O'Riordan · Jas Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marcus O'Riordan · b Jas Singh | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jas Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Leaning0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Marcus O'Riordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Will Jacks, 2.5) · 2-47 (Dominic Sibley, 4.1) · 3-75 (Daniel Lawrence, 7.4) · 4-79 (Rory Burns, 8.3) · 5-91 (Laurie Evans, 10.4) · 6-97 (Jamie Overton, 11.5) · 7-105 (Chris Jordan, 12.5) · 8-116 (Sam Curran, 14.1) · 9-125 (Tom Lawes, 15.2) · 10-131 (Matt Dunn, 16.0)
Recorded target: 218 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 36/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 47/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 53/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 64/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 71/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 77/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 81/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 87/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 93/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 98/6 |
| 13 | 7 | 105/7 |
| 14 | 11 | 116/7 |
| 15 | 5 | 121/8 |
| 16 | 10 | 131/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rory Burns: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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