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Women's T20I Quadrangular Series (in China) · 2024/25 · Women
7 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 31%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 11% to 95% during the match (Hong Kong: 5% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT Aungbowled · Kary Chan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kary Chan | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Zon Linbowled · M Wai Siu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Wai Siu | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| KM Myatnot out 7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 40* | 50 | 7 | 0 | 80.00 |
| MPP Sancaught · Kary Chan · Chan Ka Man 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kary Chan · b Chan Ka Man | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| TT Soecaught · Y Daswani · Kary Chan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Y Daswani · b Kary Chan | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| ZL Wincaught · Shanzeen Shahzad · Kary Chan 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Shanzeen Shahzad · b Kary Chan |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| LL Htuncaught · Y Daswani · M Bibi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Y Daswani · b M Bibi | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
|---|
| HH Aungbowled · M Bibi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Bibi | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| ZT Kyawnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 14 | 2 | 0 | 92.86 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Wai Siu0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Iqra Sahar0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Kary Chan1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 2.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Chan Ka Man0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruchitha Venkatesh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| M Bibi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-13 (Zon Lin, 2.5) · 2-17 (TT Aung, 3.2) · 3-18 (MPP San, 4.2) · 4-25 (TT Soe, 5.5) · 5-25 (ZL Win, 6.0) · 6-58 (LL Htun, 14.1) · 7-59 (HH Aung, 14.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 18/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 25/5 |
| 7 | 1 | 26/5 |
| 8 | 2 | 28/5 |
| 9 | 3 | 31/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 33/5 |
| 11 | 2 | 35/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 40/5 |
| 13 | 11 | 51/5 |
| 14 | 7 | 58/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 61/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 66/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 70/7 |
| 18 | 1 | 71/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 79/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 85/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.