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Women's T20I Quadrangular Series (in China) · 2024/25 · Women
7 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 31%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 11% to 95% during the match (Hong Kong: 5% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kary Chanbowled · ZL Win 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b ZL Win | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
| Y Daswanicaught and bowled · TT Soe 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b TT Soe | 12 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 48.00 |
| Shanzeen Shahzadcaught · HH Aung · MPP San 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · HH Aung · b MPP San | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Ruchitha Venkateshcaught · TT Soe · LL Htun 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · TT Soe · b LL Htun | 15 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 44.12 |
| M Bibirun out · TT Soe, HH Aung · TT Soe 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · TT Soe, HH Aung | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
| Hiu Ying Cheung |
| caught · Zon Lin · b MPP San |
| 6 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Emma Laibowled · ZL Win 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b ZL Win | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Chan Sau Harrun out · SY Win · LL Htun 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · SY Win | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| M Wai Siunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Iqra Saharbowled · TT Soe 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b TT Soe | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 15 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPP San0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| ZL Win0 maidens · 10 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 10 | 0 |
| ZL Thoon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| LL Htun0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| TT Soe0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 2 | 1 |
1-11 (Kary Chan, 1.5) · 2-19 (Shanzeen Shahzad, 4.5) · 3-44 (Y Daswani, 11.2) · 4-56 (Ruchitha Venkatesh, 14.3) · 5-59 (M Bibi, 15.4) · 6-65 (Hiu Ying Cheung, 16.5) · 7-65 (Emma Lai, 17.3) · 8-72 (Chan Sau Har, 19.0) · 9-83 (Iqra Sahar, 20.0)
Recorded target: 86 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 20/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 25/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 28/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 33/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 38/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 43/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 45/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 49/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 56/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 57/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 62/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 65/6 |
| 18 | 2 | 67/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 72/8 |
| 20 | 11 | 83/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.