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Bahrain tour of Bhutan · 2025/26 · Men
13 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bhutan started on 7%; Bhutan batted first.
Bhutan's chances ranged from 1% to 14% during the match (Bahrain: 86% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Alicaught · Namgay Thinley · T Wangchuk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Namgay Thinley · b T Wangchuk | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Naveena Shettybowled · Tashi Phuntsho 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tashi Phuntsho | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Sohail Ahmednot out 6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 46* | 43 | 6 | 1 | 106.98 |
| Junaid Azizbowled · Tashi Phuntsho 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tashi Phuntsho | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasircaught · Namgay Thinley · Tashi Phuntsho 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Namgay Thinley · b Tashi Phuntsho | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Fiaz Ahmed |
| run out · Namgay Thinley |
| 10 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 90.91 |
| Imran Anwarcaught · Tashi Phuntsho · J Singye 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tashi Phuntsho · b J Singye | 23 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 74.19 |
|---|
| Ali Dawoodnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Wangchuk0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tashi Phuntsho0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sonam Yeshey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| J Singye0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Namgay Thinley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorji0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.2 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-2 (Asif Ali, 0.5) · 2-2 (Naveena Shetty, 1.1) · 3-32 (Junaid Aziz, 5.3) · 4-36 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 5.5) · 5-51 (Fiaz Ahmed, 9.5) · 6-84 (Imran Anwar, 16.5)
Recorded target: 103 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 10/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 14/2 |
| 5 | 18 | 32/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 36/4 |
| 7 | 6 | 42/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 45/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 49/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 51/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 54/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 58/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 62/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 70/5 |
| 15 | 1 | 71/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 79/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 85/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 94/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 100/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 105/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.