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ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy · 2025/26 · Women
23 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Uganda started on 48%; Uganda batted first.
Uganda's chances ranged from 18% to 86% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 14% to 83%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naoani Varecaught · Kevin Awino · Concy Aweko 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kevin Awino · b Concy Aweko | 9 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Brenda Taubowled · K Amuge 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Amuge | 23 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 65.71 |
| HJ Thomascaught · Janet Mbabazi · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Janet Mbabazi · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 27 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 93.10 |
| H Dorigacaught · Concy Aweko · Janet Mbabazi 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Concy Aweko · b Janet Mbabazi | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Pauke Siakalbw · Janet Mbabazi 4 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Janet Mbabazi | 39 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 169.57 |
| bowled · b K Amuge |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Miria Raiobowled · Malisa Ariokot 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Malisa Ariokot | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| E Pokananot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| HL Taunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Amuge0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 2.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Concy Aweko0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| S Akiteng0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Malisa Ariokot0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Janet Mbabazi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-13 (Naoani Vare, 4.0) · 2-51 (HJ Thomas, 11.3) · 3-56 (H Doriga, 12.2) · 4-93 (Brenda Tau, 16.1) · 5-93 (Isabel Toua, 16.3) · 6-98 (Miria Raio, 17.1) · 7-111 (Pauke Siaka, 19.3)
Recorded target: 118 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 21/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 22/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 25/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 30/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 11 | 14 | 50/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 52/2 |
| 13 | 13 | 65/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 68/3 |
| 15 | 16 | 84/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 93/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 98/5 |
| 18 | 2 | 100/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 105/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 113/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.