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Lotus Cup Women's Tri-Series · 2025/26 · Women
27 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bhutan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 37%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 0% to 43% during the match (Bhutan: 57% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainna Hamizah Hashimlbw · R Choden 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b R Choden | 12 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 85.71 |
| Winifred Duraisingambowled · Riya Pradhan 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Riya Pradhan | 20 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Mas Elysabowled · Sonam 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sonam | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nur Izzatul Syafiqacaught · K Dema · Sonam 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · K Dema · b Sonam | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mahirah Ismailbowled · Sonam 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sonam | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nur Dania Syuhadalbw · Riya Pradhan1 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Riya Pradhan |
| 13 |
| 24 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 54.17 |
| Nur Arianna Natsyacaught · N Choden · Tshering Choden 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Choden · b Tshering Choden | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Aina Najwanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Irdina Beh Nabilnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 20 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anju Gurung1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
| R Choden0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sonam0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 6 | 0 |
| T Zangmo0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Riya Pradhan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Tshering Choden1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-18 (Ainna Hamizah Hashim, 4.0) · 2-24 (Mas Elysa, 5.2) · 3-24 (Nur Izzatul Syafiqa, 5.5) · 4-32 (Mahirah Ismail, 7.3) · 5-54 (Nur Dania Syuhada, 13.4) · 6-55 (Winifred Duraisingam, 14.0) · 7-55 (Nur Arianna Natsya, 14.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 24/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 30/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 33/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 35/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 39/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 45/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 50/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 54/4 |
| 14 | 1 | 55/6 |
| 15 | 0 | 55/7 |
| 16 | 2 | 57/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 64/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 68/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 78/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 81/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.