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Slovenia tour of Hungary · 2025 · Men
21 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Hungary more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hungary started on 80%; Hungary batted first.
Hungary's chances ranged from 69% to 100% during the match (Slovenia: 0% to 31%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbas Ghanicaught · S Koppolu · Muhammad Siddiqui 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Koppolu · b Muhammad Siddiqui | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| V Ravindranbowled · DK Pallekonda 8 fours · 5 sixes | bowled · b DK Pallekonda | 77 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 213.89 |
| Khaibar Deldarcaught · Muhammad Siddiqui · Dayal Joy 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Siddiqui · b Dayal Joy | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
| MP Ainsworthlbw · Izaz Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Izaz Ali | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
| Muhammad Usman (3)caught · Muhammad Siddiqui · DK Pallekonda 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Muhammad Siddiqui · b DK Pallekonda | 19 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 172.73 |
| caught · Dayal Joy · b S Koppolu |
| 23 |
| 15 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 153.33 |
| Ali Farasatbowled · Saeed Waqar Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Saeed Waqar Ali | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| A Prasharnot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 33* | 14 | 3 | 2 | 235.71 |
|---|
| Ali Nawaznot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 19* | 11 | 0 | 2 | 172.73 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 11 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Siddiqui1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 56 | 1 | 14.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Saeed Waqar Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 |
| S Koppolu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Dayal Joy0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 11.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Izaz Ali0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 10.67 | 3 | 1 |
| DK Pallekonda0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 12.33 | 2 | 0 |
1-0 (Abbas Ghani, 0.1) · 2-39 (Khaibar Deldar, 4.1) · 3-76 (MP Ainsworth, 7.4) · 4-103 (Muhammad Usman (3), 10.5) · 5-137 (V Ravindran, 12.4) · 6-154 (Ali Farasat, 15.4) · 7-160 (Zahir Mohammed, 16.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 15 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 17 | 32/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 52/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 59/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 68/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 76/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 81/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 93/3 |
| 11 | 16 | 109/4 |
| 12 | 16 | 125/4 |
| 13 | 17 | 142/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 150/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 153/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 156/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 161/7 |
| 18 | 10 | 171/7 |
| 19 | 31 | 202/7 |
| 20 | 12 | 214/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.