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Slovenia tour of Hungary · 2025 · Men
21 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Hungary more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hungary started on 80%; Hungary batted first.
Hungary's chances ranged from 69% to 100% during the match (Slovenia: 0% to 31%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Siddiquicaught · Abbas Ghani · Muhammad Saqlain 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Abbas Ghani · b Muhammad Saqlain | 16 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 123.08 |
| Tarun Sharma (2)bowled · SA Mohandas 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SA Mohandas | 11 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 61.11 |
| DK Pallekondacaught · A Prashar · SA Mohandas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Prashar · b SA Mohandas | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Waqar Khancaught · Muhammad Usman (3) · SA Mohandas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Usman (3) · b SA Mohandas | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Izaz Alicaught · Abbas Ghani · A Prashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abbas Ghani · b A Prashar | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| caught · Abbas Ghani · b A Prashar |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| S Koppolubowled · Abbas Ghani 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abbas Ghani | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Dayal Joycaught · V Ravindran · MP Ainsworth 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · V Ravindran · b MP Ainsworth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ayyaz Qureshinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 43 | 1 | 0 | 46.51 |
|---|
| Saeed Waqar Alicaught · V Ravindran · Ali Nawaz 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · V Ravindran · b Ali Nawaz | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Rizwan Zahoornot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 18 | 2 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 14 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA Mohandas1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Saqlain0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 3 | 1 |
| A Prashar0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 4.00 | 2 | 1 |
| MP Ainsworth0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Abbas Ghani0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 6 | 0 |
| Ali Nawaz0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Khaibar Deldar0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Muhammad Usman (3)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Muhammad Siddiqui, 3.4) · 2-25 (DK Pallekonda, 4.4) · 3-25 (Waqar Khan, 4.5) · 4-33 (Tarun Sharma (2), 6.5) · 5-33 (Izaz Ali, 7.2) · 6-35 (Rasheed Ali Mamadkhel, 7.5) · 7-43 (Dayal Joy, 8.3) · 8-55 (S Koppolu, 12.0) · 9-56 (Saeed Waqar Ali, 13.0)
Recorded target: 215 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 25/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 27/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 33/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 37/6 |
| 9 | 8 | 45/7 |
| 10 | 3 | 48/7 |
| 11 | 3 | 51/7 |
| 12 | 4 | 55/8 |
| 13 | 1 | 56/9 |
| 14 | 4 | 60/9 |
| 15 | 4 | 64/9 |
| 16 | 9 | 73/9 |
| 17 | 6 | 79/9 |
| 18 | 2 | 81/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 87/9 |
| 20 | 5 | 92/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.