Sunrisers HyderabadversusPunjab Kings

9 Apr 2024 · T20

Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 2 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs182/9 Punjab Kings20.0 overs180/6 Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 43%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Punjab Kings is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 24% to 99% during the match (Punjab Kings: 1% to 76%).

Biggest swings

3.2: Arshdeep Singh to TM Head, TM Head out. Punjab Kings up from 45% to 55%.
3.4: Arshdeep Singh to AK Markram, AK Markram out. Punjab Kings up from 56% to 67%.
2nd inns 2.6: B Kumar to P Simran Singh, P Simran Singh out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 73% to 83%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad182/9 Punjab Kings180/6

Innings 1