Rajshahi WarriorsversusChattogram Royals

9 Jan 2026 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Chattogram Royals won by 2 wickets

Rajshahi Warriors20.0 overs128/9 Chattogram Royals20.0 overs129/8 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rajshahi Warriors started on 48%; Rajshahi Warriors batted first.

Rajshahi Warriors’s chance of winning (%) · Chattogram Royals is the rest

Rajshahi Warriors's chances ranged from 14% to 71% during the match (Chattogram Royals: 30% to 87%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 4.2: B Fernando to Shadman Islam, Shadman Islam out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 42% to 68%.
2nd inns 19.3: SM Meherob to Hassan Nawaz, four by Hassan Nawaz. Chattogram Royals up from 50% to 85%.
2nd inns 19.6: SM Meherob to Hassan Nawaz, 2 runs to Hassan Nawaz. Chattogram Royals up from 63% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Rajshahi Warriors128/9 Chattogram Royals129/8

Innings 1