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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
7 Feb 2024 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
Paarl Royals started on 45%; Paarl Royals batted first.
Paarl Royals's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roycaught · Faf du Plessis · Nandre Burger4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Faf du Plessis · b Nandre Burger | 24 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 171.43 |
 Jos Buttlercaught · Donavon Ferreira · Sam Cook1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Donavon Ferreira · b Sam Cook | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 125.00 |
| Mitchell Van Buurencaught · Imran Tahir · Sam Cook 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imran Tahir · b Sam Cook | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Dane Vilascaught · Imran Tahir · Nandre Burger 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Imran Tahir · b Nandre Burger | 21 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 131.25 |
| lbw · b Nandre Burger |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 133.33 |
 David Millercaught · Donavon Ferreira · Imran Tahir4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Donavon Ferreira · b Imran Tahir | 47 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 117.50 |
|---|
| Andile Phehlukwayocaught · Donavon Ferreira · Moeen Ali 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Donavon Ferreira · b Moeen Ali | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Bjorn Fortuinbowled · Imran Tahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Imran Tahir | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Codi Yusufbowled · Sam Cook 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sam Cook | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Obed McCoycaught and bowled · Sam Cook 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sam Cook | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Tabraiz Shamsinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Cook0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 6.26 | 2 | 0 |
| Nandre Burger0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Doug Bracewell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dayyaan Galiem0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Moeen Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Imran Tahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Jos Buttler, 2.3) · 2-26 (Mitchell Van Buuren, 2.5) · 3-39 (Jason Roy, 4.3) · 4-43 (Wihan Lubbe, 5.0) · 5-87 (Dane Vilas, 10.3) · 6-102 (Andile Phehlukwayo, 14.0) · 7-107 (Bjorn Fortuin, 14.3) · 8-126 (David Miller, 17.0) · 9-137 (Obed McCoy, 18.3) · 10-138 (Codi Yusuf, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 26/2 |
| 4 | 13 | 39/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 43/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 49/4 |
| 7 | 5 | 54/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 60/4 |
| 9 | 12 | 72/4 |
| 10 | 13 | 85/4 |
| 11 | 2 | 87/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 90/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 95/5 |
| 14 | 7 | 102/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 109/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 115/7 |
| 17 | 11 | 126/8 |
| 18 | 6 | 132/8 |
| 19 | 6 | 138/10 |
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Imran Tahir: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Faf du Plessis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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