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Pakistan tour of Sri Lanka · 2025/26 · Men
11 Jan 2026 · T20
Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahibzada Farhanbowled · Eshan Malinga 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eshan Malinga | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Saim Ayubcaught · Eshan Malinga · Wanindu Hasaranga 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eshan Malinga · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Eshan Malinga · Matheesha Pathirana 5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Eshan Malinga · b Matheesha Pathirana | 45 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 375.00 |
 Usman Khancaught · Pathum Nissanka · Wanindu Hasaranga0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pathum Nissanka · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Mohammad Nawazbowled · Matheesha Pathirana2 fours · 2 sixes |
| bowled · b Matheesha Pathirana |
| 28 |
| 15 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 186.67 |
| Khawaja Nafaycaught · Dhananjaya de Silva · Wanindu Hasaranga 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dhananjaya de Silva · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 26 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 173.33 |
|---|
 Shadab Khancaught · Eshan Malinga · Wanindu Hasaranga0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Eshan Malinga · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Fahim Ashrafrun out · Kusal Mendis · Eshan Malinga 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kusal Mendis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Mohammad Wasimnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 0 | 1 | 87.50 |
|---|
 Naseem Shahnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahesh Theekshana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Eshan Malinga0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 13.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Matheesha Pathirana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 11.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Wanindu Hasaranga0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 11.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Sahibzada Farhan, 1.2) · 2-60 (Salman Ali Agha, 3.4) · 3-62 (Saim Ayub, 4.1) · 4-67 (Usman Khan, 4.5) · 5-116 (Khawaja Nafay, 9.1) · 6-123 (Shadab Khan, 9.4) · 7-133 (Mohammad Nawaz, 10.3) · 8-141 (Fahim Ashraf, 11.1)
Recorded target: 161 runs in 12 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 22 | 27/1 |
| 3 | 22 | 49/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 62/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 69/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 75/4 |
| 7 | 13 | 88/4 |
| 8 | 17 | 105/4 |
| 9 | 11 | 116/4 |
| 10 | 15 | 131/6 |
| 11 | 10 | 141/7 |
| 12 | 5 | 146/8 |
Wanindu Hasaranga: 04 ATM 04 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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