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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
10 Jul 2026 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 57%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 34% to 87% during the match (Derbyshire: 13% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Martin Andersson · b Akif Javed | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Martin Andersson · b Matthew Montgomery | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| BS McKinneylbw · Akif Javed 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Akif Javed | 31 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 206.67 |
7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 69* | 44 | 7 | 1 | 156.82 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Montgomery · b Nick Potts | 19 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 86.36 |
|---|
| Kasey Aldridgebowled · Akif Javed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akif Javed | 12 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Morley · b Sufyan Moqeem | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aneurin Donald · b Nick Potts | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Akif Javed1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Potts0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sufyan Moqeem0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Graham Clark, 1.1) · 2-41 (BS McKinney, 4.3) · 3-42 (Alex Lees, 4.5) · 4-99 (Ollie Robinson, 12.3) · 5-130 (Kasey Aldridge, 16.5) · 6-133 (Brydon Carse, 17.2) · 7-154 (Ben Raine, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 14 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 21 | 41/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 43/3 |
| 6 | 11 | 54/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 60/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 67/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 73/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 82/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 92/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 98/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 102/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 107/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 113/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 123/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 131/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 137/6 |
| 19 | 16 | 153/6 |
| 20 | 12 | 165/7 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.