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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
10 Jul 2026 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 57%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 34% to 87% during the match (Derbyshire: 13% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Callum Parkinson · Brydon Carse2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Callum Parkinson · b Brydon Carse | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Martin Anderssoncaught · Colin Ackermann · Brydon Carse 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Colin Ackermann · b Brydon Carse | 44 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 118.92 |
| MYB Naeemcaught · Kasey Aldridge · Callum Parkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kasey Aldridge · b Callum Parkinson | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · BS McKinney · Nathan Sowter1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · BS McKinney · b Nathan Sowter | 26 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 104.00 |
| caught · Alex Lees · b Matthew Potts |
| 18 |
| 11 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 163.64 |
 Harry Camenot out2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 35* | 23 | 2 | 2 | 152.17 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleycaught · Ollie Robinson · Ben Raine1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Ben Raine | 22 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 129.41 |
|---|
| Nick Pottsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brydon Carse0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Raine0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Aneurin Donald, 0.4) · 2-9 (MYB Naeem, 1.2) · 3-80 (Wayne Madsen, 10.5) · 4-82 (Martin Andersson, 11.4) · 5-104 (Matthew Montgomery, 14.3) · 6-160 (Ross Whiteley, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 13/2 |
| 3 | 8 | 21/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 45/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 60/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 71/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 80/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 83/4 |
| 13 | 13 | 96/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 100/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 105/5 |
| 16 | 14 | 119/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 127/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 139/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 150/5 |
| 20 | 10 | 160/6 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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