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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
1 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Middlesex started on 43%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 52% during the match (Glamorgan: 48% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · William Smale · Mason Crane 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William Smale · b Mason Crane | 14 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 60.87 |
 Kane Williamsonrun out · Hayden Kerr · Mason Crane2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Hayden Kerr | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 113.64 |
| Ben Geddesbowled · Mason Crane 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mason Crane | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Leus du Plooycaught · Asa Tribe · Mason Crane2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b Mason Crane | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 112.50 |
| Jack Davies |
| caught · Hayden Kerr · b BI Kellaway |
| 4 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Ryan Higginscaught · Asa Tribe · Daniel Douthwaite2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b Daniel Douthwaite | 21 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmancaught · Timm van der Gugten · Mason Crane3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Timm van der Gugten · b Mason Crane | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Josh de Cairescaught · Chris Cooke · Timm van der Gugten 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Timm van der Gugten | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharcaught · Kiran Carlson · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kiran Carlson · b Daniel Douthwaite | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58.33 |
|---|
 Tom Helmnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Noah Cornwellnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Hayden Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-45 (Stephen Eskinazi, 7.1) · 2-46 (Kane Williamson, 7.4) · 3-58 (Ben Geddes, 9.1) · 4-65 (Jack Davies, 10.4) · 5-89 (Leus du Plooy, 13.4) · 6-109 (Luke Hollman, 15.5) · 7-109 (Ryan Higgins, 16.1) · 8-111 (Josh de Caires, 17.1) · 9-123 (Zafar Gohar, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 22/0 |
| 6 | 16 | 38/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 45/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 58/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 62/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 70/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 76/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 81/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 93/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 99/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 109/6 |
| 17 | 2 | 111/7 |
| 18 | 2 | 113/8 |
| 19 | 4 | 117/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 124/9 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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