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Pakistan Women tour of Ireland · 2025 · Women
6 Aug 2025 · T20
Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, Dublin · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 75%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 62% to 100% during the match (Pakistan: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hunterbowled · Nashra Sandhu 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nashra Sandhu | 37 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 123.33 |
| Gaby Lewisbowled · Fatima Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fatima Sana | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Orla Prendergastcaught · Fatima Sana · Rameen Shamim 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fatima Sana · b Rameen Shamim | 29 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 111.54 |
| Leah Paulcaught · Sidra Ameen · Sadia Iqbal 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sidra Ameen · b Sadia Iqbal | 28 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 147.37 |
| Laura Delanycaught · Gull Feroza · Fatima Sana 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Gull Feroza · b Fatima Sana | 16 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 106.67 |
| caught · Fatima Sana · b Diana Baig |
| 12 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 120.00 |
| Ava Canningcaught · Rameen Shamim · Fatima Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rameen Shamim · b Fatima Sana | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Jane Maguirebowled · Fatima Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fatima Sana | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Arlene Kellyrun out · Fatima Sana · Diana Baig 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Fatima Sana | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Cara Murrayrun out · Muneeba Ali, Aliya Riaz, Diana Baig · Diana Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Muneeba Ali, Aliya Riaz, Diana Baig | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| LA McBridenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Sana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Diana Baig0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 9.55 | 0 | 1 |
| Rameen Shamim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Gaby Lewis, 2.5) · 2-63 (Amy Hunter, 8.5) · 3-83 (Orla Prendergast, 12.0) · 4-108 (Leah Paul, 14.4) · 5-121 (Laura Delany, 16.2) · 6-123 (Ava Canning, 17.0) · 7-135 (Jane Maguire, 18.4) · 8-141 (Rebecca Stokell, 19.1) · 9-141 (Arlene Kelly, 19.2) · 10-142 (Cara Murray, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 53/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 58/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 63/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 70/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 78/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 83/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 86/3 |
| 14 | 17 | 103/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 109/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 119/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 123/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 128/6 |
| 19 | 13 | 141/7 |
| 20 | 1 | 142/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.