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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 40%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 22% to 99% during the match (Kent: 1% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyerun out · Joe Cracknell · Neha Sharma 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Joe Cracknell | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Eathan Bosch · Matt Boyle5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Eathan Bosch · b Matt Boyle | 47 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 138.24 |
 Zak Crawleycaught · Max Holden · Zafar Gohar1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Max Holden · b Zafar Gohar | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
 Sam Billingsstumped · Joe Cracknell · Matt Boyle1 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Joe Cracknell · b Matt Boyle | 26 |
| 18 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 144.44 |
| JK Denlystumped · Joe Cracknell · Luke Hollman 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Joe Cracknell · b Luke Hollman | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
 Harry Finchbowled · Zafar Gohar1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zafar Gohar | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 106.67 |
|---|
| Ekansh Singhcaught · Leus du Plooy · Zafar Gohar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b Zafar Gohar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 17* | 11 | 1 | 1 | 154.55 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Neha Sharma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Eathan Bosch0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Boyle0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Tawanda Muyeye, 3.1) · 2-57 (Zak Crawley, 7.3) · 3-100 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 12.2) · 4-101 (Sam Billings, 12.5) · 5-123 (JK Denly, 15.5) · 6-131 (Harry Finch, 17.1) · 7-136 (Ekansh Singh, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 47/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 63/2 |
| 10 | 17 | 80/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 90/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 99/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 102/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 109/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 116/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 124/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 130/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 138/7 |
| 19 | 14 | 152/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 158/7 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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