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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
22 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 37%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 44% during the match (Scotland: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcey Cartercaught · Modester Mupachikwa · Nyasha Gwanzura 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b Nyasha Gwanzura | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Katherine Fraserrun out · Loryn Phiri, Christabel Chatonzwa · Loryn Phiri 7 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Loryn Phiri, Christabel Chatonzwa | 44 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 146.67 |
| Kathryn Brycebowled · Loren Tshuma 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Loren Tshuma | 23 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 176.92 |
| Sarah Brycecaught · Nyasha Gwanzura · Loren Tshuma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nyasha Gwanzura · b Loren Tshuma | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Ailsa Listercaught · Chiedza Dhururu · Loren Tshuma 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chiedza Dhururu · b Loren Tshuma | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 200.00 |
| Megan McCollnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Priyanaz Chatterjinot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Zimunu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Christabel Chatonzwa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nyasha Gwanzura0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Audrey Mazvishaya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Loren Tshuma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.82 | 0 | 0 |
| Loryn Phiri0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-18 (Darcey Carter, 3.5) · 2-60 (Kathryn Bryce, 7.3) · 3-72 (Sarah Bryce, 9.4) · 4-76 (Ailsa Lister, 10.0) · 5-85 (Katherine Fraser, 11.0)
Recorded target: 102 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 56/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 60/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 69/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 76/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 85/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 89/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 95/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 105/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.