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Photo: Krish Dulal
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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
30 Jan 2026 · T20
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 42%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Scotland: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcey Cartercaught · Nigar Sultana · Marufa Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nigar Sultana · b Marufa Akter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Katherine Fraserrun out · Sharmin Akhter, Marufa Akter · Marufa Akter 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sharmin Akhter, Marufa Akter | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Kathryn Brycecaught · Dilara Akter · Marufa Akter 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dilara Akter · b Marufa Akter | 11 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 73.33 |
| Sarah Brycecaught · Dilara Akter · Rabeya Khan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dilara Akter · b Rabeya Khan | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Ailsa Listercaught · Dilara Akter · Marufa Akter 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dilara Akter · b Marufa Akter | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 133.33 |
| Megan McCollrun out · Dilara Akter, Sobhana Mostary · Shorna Akter 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Dilara Akter, Sobhana Mostary | 20 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 90.91 |
|---|
| Priyanaz Chatterjicaught and bowled · Shorna Akter 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Shorna Akter | 14 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 93.33 |
|---|
| PN Sproulnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 27* | 23 | 3 | 0 | 117.39 |
|---|
| Chloe Abelcaught and bowled · Shorna Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Shorna Akter | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Abtaha Maqsoodcaught · Dilara Akter · Nahida Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dilara Akter · b Nahida Akter | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Olivia Bellnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marufa Akter0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Nahida Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Rabeya Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Fahima Khatun0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ritu Moni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Shorna Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Darcey Carter, 0.1) · 2-9 (Katherine Fraser, 2.1) · 3-27 (Kathryn Bryce, 5.1) · 4-31 (Ailsa Lister, 5.4) · 5-35 (Sarah Bryce, 6.1) · 6-63 (Priyanaz Chatterji, 11.2) · 7-71 (Megan McColl, 13.1) · 8-77 (Chloe Abel, 15.5) · 9-78 (Abtaha Maqsood, 16.3)
Recorded target: 192 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 18/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 27/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 35/4 |
| 7 | 4 | 39/5 |
| 8 | 5 | 44/5 |
| 9 | 5 | 49/5 |
| 10 | 8 | 57/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 62/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 64/6 |
| 13 | 6 | 70/6 |
| 14 | 1 | 71/7 |
| 15 | 3 | 74/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 78/8 |
| 17 | 1 | 79/9 |
| 18 | 6 | 85/9 |
| 19 | 10 | 95/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 101/9 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fahima Khatun: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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