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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
24 May 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 44%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 2% to 99% during the match (Yorkshire: 1% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jack Morley | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Matthew Montgomery · b Akif Javed | 31 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 281.82 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jack Morley | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
| James Whartoncaught · Jack Morley · Nick Potts 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Morley · b Nick Potts | 5 | 10 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
2 fours · 5 sixes | caught · AS Basra · b Nick Potts | 51 | 35 | 2 | 5 | 145.71 |
|---|
0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Caleb Jewell · b Jack Morley | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 144.44 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Morley · b Matthew Montgomery | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Martin Andersson · b Jack Morley | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 32* | 13 | 4 | 2 | 246.15 |
|---|
2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 31* | 12 | 2 | 3 | 258.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.2 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 12.60 | 2 | 0 | |
| Akif Javed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nick Potts0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 4 | 0 |
1-38 (Adam Lyth, 3.0) · 2-42 (Jonny Bairstow, 3.2) · 3-49 (James Wharton, 5.4) · 4-65 (William Luxton, 7.4) · 5-101 (Matt Revis, 12.0) · 6-102 (George Hill, 12.3) · 7-123 (Moeen Ali, 14.4) · 8-139 (Dominic Bess, 15.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 38/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 44/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 48/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 52/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 58/3 |
| 8 | 14 | 72/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 78/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 85/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 91/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 101/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 104/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 111/6 |
| 15 | 22 | 133/7 |
| 16 | 14 | 147/8 |
| 17 | 15 | 162/8 |
| 18 | 12 | 174/8 |
| 19 | 15 | 189/8 |
| 20 | 6 | 195/8 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Hill: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.