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Photo: Krish Dulal
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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
27 Apr 2026 · ODI
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 26%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhbowled · Nilansh Keswani 8 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nilansh Keswani | 46 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 131.43 |
| AR Odedaracaught · Nilansh Keswani · Haider Ali 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nilansh Keswani · b Haider Ali | 35 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 71.43 |
| Mujibur Alicaught · Aryansh Sharma · Ajay Kumar (2) 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aryansh Sharma · b Ajay Kumar (2) | 24 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 70.59 |
| Hammad Mirzabowled · Ajay Kumar (2) 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajay Kumar (2) | 27 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 77.14 |
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Muhammad Shahdad 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Muhammad Shahdad | 18 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 56.25 |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 25% to 97% during the match (Oman: 3% to 75%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Ajay Kumar (2) |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Vinayak Shuklanot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 58* | 58 | 2 | 2 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Jiten Ramanandibowled · Junaid Siddique 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Junaid Siddique | 19 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 73.08 |
|---|
| Shah Faisalbowled · Ajay Kumar (2) 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajay Kumar (2) | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 53.85 |
|---|
| Bukkapatnam Siddharthcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Ajay Kumar (2) 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Ajay Kumar (2) | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahbowled · Ajay Kumar (2) 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajay Kumar (2) | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 5.22 | 3 | 0 |
| Khuzaima Tanveer0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 5.44 | 2 | 0 |
| Ajay Kumar (2)1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.5 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 3.56 | 0 | 0 |
| Haider Ali2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 38 | 1 | 3.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Nilansh Keswani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 7.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Shahdad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 6.60 | 0 | 0 |
1-85 (AR Odedara, 13.5) · 2-85 (Jatinder Singh, 14.1) · 3-133 (Mujibur Ali, 24.2) · 4-140 (Hammad Mirza, 26.4) · 5-140 (Wasim Ali, 26.5) · 6-171 (Shakeel Ahmed, 34.2) · 7-230 (Jiten Ramanandi, 43.3) · 8-243 (Shah Faisal, 47.1) · 9-243 (Bukkapatnam Siddharth, 47.3) · 10-243 (Hassnain Shah, 47.5)
Recorded target: 269 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 28/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 29/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 40/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 43/0 |
| 8 | 0 | 43/0 |
| 9 | 16 | 59/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 63/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 71/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 73/0 |
| 13 | 11 | 84/0 |
| 14 | 1 | 85/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 91/2 |
| 16 | 0 | 91/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 94/2 |
| 18 | 8 | 102/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 106/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 110/2 |
| 21 | 8 | 118/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 119/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 122/2 |
| 24 | 11 | 133/2 |
| 25 | 0 | 133/3 |
| 26 | 5 | 138/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 141/5 |
| 28 | 5 | 146/5 |
| 29 | 2 | 148/5 |
| 30 | 4 | 152/5 |
| 31 | 8 | 160/5 |
| 32 | 2 | 162/5 |
| 33 | 6 | 168/5 |
| 34 | 3 | 171/5 |
| 35 | 5 | 176/6 |
| 36 | 7 | 183/6 |
| 37 | 11 | 194/6 |
| 38 | 3 | 197/6 |
| 39 | 4 | 201/6 |
| 40 | 5 | 206/6 |
| 41 | 5 | 211/6 |
| 42 | 7 | 218/6 |
| 43 | 11 | 229/6 |
| 44 | 3 | 232/7 |
| 45 | 4 | 236/7 |
| 46 | 4 | 240/7 |
| 47 | 3 | 243/7 |
| 48 | 0 | 243/10 |
Harpreet Singh: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
