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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of Zimbabwe · 2024 · Men
6 Jul 2024 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 17%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 3% to 99% during the match (India: 1% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abhishek Sharmacaught · Wellington Masakadza · Brian Bennett 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wellington Masakadza · b Brian Bennett | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Shubman Gillbowled · Sikandar Raza5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sikandar Raza | 31 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 106.90 |
| Ruturaj Gaikwadcaught · Innocent Kaia · Blessing Muzarabani 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Innocent Kaia · b Blessing Muzarabani | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Riyan Paragcaught · B Mavuta · Tendai Chatara 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · B Mavuta · b Tendai Chatara | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Rinku Singhcaught · Brian Bennett · Tendai Chatara 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Brian Bennett · b Tendai Chatara |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Dhruv Jurelcaught · Wesley Madhevere · Luke Jongwe 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wesley Madhevere · b Luke Jongwe | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarcaught · Blessing Muzarabani · Tendai Chatara1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Blessing Muzarabani · b Tendai Chatara | 27 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 79.41 |
|---|
| Ravi Bishnoilbw · Sikandar Raza 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sikandar Raza | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Avesh Khancaught · Sikandar Raza · Wellington Masakadza 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sikandar Raza · b Wellington Masakadza | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Mukesh Kumarbowled · Sikandar Raza 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sikandar Raza | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Khaleel Ahmednot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennett1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Wellington Masakadza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tendai Chatara1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Blessing Muzarabani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Jongwe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Abhishek Sharma, 0.4) · 2-15 (Ruturaj Gaikwad, 3.3) · 3-22 (Riyan Parag, 4.4) · 4-22 (Rinku Singh, 5.0) · 5-43 (Dhruv Jurel, 9.5) · 6-47 (Shubman Gill, 10.2) · 7-61 (Ravi Bishnoi, 12.5) · 8-84 (Avesh Khan, 15.5) · 9-86 (Mukesh Kumar, 17.0) · 10-102 (Washington Sundar, 19.5)
Recorded target: 116 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 22/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 28/4 |
| 7 | 0 | 28/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 34/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 36/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 43/5 |
| 11 | 10 | 53/6 |
| 12 | 1 | 54/6 |
| 13 | 7 | 61/7 |
| 14 | 8 | 69/7 |
| 15 | 6 | 75/7 |
| 16 | 9 | 84/8 |
| 17 | 2 | 86/9 |
| 18 | 12 | 98/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 100/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 102/10 |
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Johnathan Campbell: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Khaleel Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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