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Hong Kong tour of Qatar · 2023/24 · Men
27 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 46%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 46% to 99% during the match (Qatar: 1% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Coetzeecaught · Muhammad Tanveer · Gayan Munaweera 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Muhammad Tanveer · b Gayan Munaweera | 74 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 134.55 |
| Nizakat Khanbowled · Musawar Shah 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Musawar Shah | 31 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 147.62 |
| Anshuman Rathcaught · Muhammad Tanveer · Musawar Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Tanveer · b Musawar Shah | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Babar Hayatlbw · Musawar Shah 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Musawar Shah | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 220.00 |
| Aizaz Khanlbw · Amir Farooq 0 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Amir Farooq | 25 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 138.89 |
| bowled · b Amir Farooq |
| 3 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
| Yasim Murtazarun out · Imal Liyanage, Shahzaib Jamil · Gayan Munaweera 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Imal Liyanage, Shahzaib Jamil | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Zeeshan Alilbw · Amir Farooq 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Amir Farooq | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ehsan Nawaznot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225.00 |
|---|
| Ehsan Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Farooq0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Muhammad Jabir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Gayan Munaweera0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Musawar Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Adnan Mirza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baig0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-67 (Nizakat Khan, 7.4) · 2-83 (Anshuman Rath, 10.0) · 3-97 (Babar Hayat, 11.4) · 4-152 (Martin Coetzee, 17.3) · 5-154 (Aizaz Khan, 18.2) · 6-158 (Nasrulla Rana, 18.5) · 7-158 (Zeeshan Ali, 19.0) · 8-159 (Yasim Murtaza, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 38/0 |
| 6 | 14 | 52/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 59/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 69/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 77/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 83/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 86/2 |
| 12 | 13 | 99/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 109/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 115/3 |
| 15 | 14 | 129/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 140/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 150/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 153/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 158/7 |
| 20 | 14 | 172/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.