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Hong Kong tour of Qatar · 2023/24 · Men
27 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 46%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 46% to 99% during the match (Qatar: 1% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adnan Mirzabowled · Ehsan Nawaz 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Nawaz | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 145.45 |
| Saqlain Arshadcaught · Martin Coetzee · Ehsan Nawaz 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Martin Coetzee · b Ehsan Nawaz | 17 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 130.77 |
| Imal Liyanagecaught · Ehsan Nawaz · Nasrulla Rana 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ehsan Nawaz · b Nasrulla Rana | 24 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Muhammad Tanveercaught · Babar Hayat · Nasrulla Rana 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Babar Hayat · b Nasrulla Rana | 66 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 137.50 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baigcaught · Nizakat Khan · Aizaz Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nizakat Khan · b Aizaz Khan | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Shahzaib Jamilcaught · Ehsan Nawaz · Ehsan Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Ehsan Nawaz · b Ehsan Khan |
| 12 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
| R Theruvathrun out · Babar Hayat, Zeeshan Ali · Ayush Shukla 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Babar Hayat, Zeeshan Ali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Amir Farooqnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 9* | 5 | 0 | 1 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Gayan Munaweeranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehsan Nawaz0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Ayush Shukla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 10.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Aizaz Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-25 (Adnan Mirza, 3.0) · 2-34 (Saqlain Arshad, 4.1) · 3-86 (Imal Liyanage, 10.4) · 4-93 (Mirza Mohammed Baig, 12.1) · 5-129 (Shahzaib Jamil, 17.1) · 6-149 (R Theruvath, 18.3) · 7-152 (Muhammad Tanveer, 19.1)
Recorded target: 173 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 45/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 55/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 58/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 67/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 73/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 84/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 89/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 93/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 98/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 102/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 112/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 120/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 129/4 |
| 18 | 14 | 143/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 151/6 |
| 20 | 11 | 162/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.