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India Women tour of England · 2025 · Women
22 Jul 2025 · ODI
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 34%; India batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amy Jonescaught · Deepti Sharma · Kranti Goud0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Deepti Sharma · b Kranti Goud | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
 Tammy Beaumontbowled · Kranti Goud0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kranti Goud | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Emma Lambbowled · Shree Charani 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shree Charani | 68 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 83.95 |
 Nat Sciver-Bruntcaught · Richa Ghosh · Deepti Sharma11 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Richa Ghosh · b Deepti Sharma | 98 | 105 | 11 | 0 |
India's chances ranged from 33% to 99% during the match (England: 1% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 93.33 |
 Sophia Dunkleyrun out · Richa Ghosh, Kranti Goud · Deepti Sharma2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Richa Ghosh, Kranti Goud | 34 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 94.44 |
|---|
| Alice Davidson-Richardscaught · Radha Yadav · Kranti Goud 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Radha Yadav · b Kranti Goud | 44 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 129.41 |
|---|
 Charlie Deancaught · Jemimah Rodrigues · Kranti Goud2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jemimah Rodrigues · b Kranti Goud | 21 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
 Sophie Ecclestonecaught · Jemimah Rodrigues · Shree Charani0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jemimah Rodrigues · b Shree Charani | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Linsey Smithnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 155.56 |
|---|
 Lauren Filerbowled · Kranti Goud0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kranti Goud | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Lauren Bellcaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Kranti Goud0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Kranti Goud | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kranti Goud1 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.5 | 1 | 52 | 6 | 5.29 | 3 | 1 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sneh Rana2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 57 | 0 | 5.70 | 1 | 0 |
| Shree Charani0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 68 | 2 | 7.56 | 2 | 0 |
 Radha Yadav0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 6.20 | 2 | 0 |
| Pratika Rawal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Tammy Beaumont, 1.0) · 2-8 (Amy Jones, 2.1) · 3-170 (Emma Lamb, 30.4) · 4-195 (Nat Sciver-Brunt, 35.0) · 5-228 (Sophia Dunkley, 40.2) · 6-264 (Charlie Dean, 45.1) · 7-267 (Sophie Ecclestone, 46.2) · 8-287 (Alice Davidson-Richards, 47.5) · 9-287 (Lauren Filer, 48.0) · 10-305 (Lauren Bell, 49.5)
Recorded target: 319 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 8/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 13/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 15/2 |
| 6 | 0 | 15/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 8 | 0 | 17/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 18/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 22/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 30/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 38/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 47/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 55/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 57/2 |
| 17 | 9 | 66/2 |
| 18 | 7 | 73/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 80/2 |
| 20 | 8 | 88/2 |
| 21 | 8 | 96/2 |
| 22 | 9 | 105/2 |
| 23 | 6 | 111/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 115/2 |
| 25 | 14 | 129/2 |
| 26 | 7 | 136/2 |
| 27 | 9 | 145/2 |
| 28 | 7 | 152/2 |
| 29 | 10 | 162/2 |
| 30 | 6 | 168/2 |
| 31 | 3 | 171/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 175/3 |
| 33 | 7 | 182/3 |
| 34 | 7 | 189/3 |
| 35 | 6 | 195/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 201/4 |
| 37 | 9 | 210/4 |
| 38 | 7 | 217/4 |
| 39 | 3 | 220/4 |
| 40 | 8 | 228/4 |
| 41 | 1 | 229/5 |
| 42 | 9 | 238/5 |
| 43 | 9 | 247/5 |
| 44 | 10 | 257/5 |
| 45 | 7 | 264/5 |
| 46 | 2 | 266/6 |
| 47 | 9 | 275/7 |
| 48 | 12 | 287/9 |
| 49 | 9 | 296/9 |
| 50 | 9 | 305/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Dunkley: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Radha Yadav: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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