Gulf GiantsversusDesert Vipers

12 Dec 2025 · T20

Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Desert Vipers won by 8 wickets

Gulf Giants20.0 overs157/7 Desert Vipers16.5 overs158/2 Dubai International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Gulf Giants started on 44%; Gulf Giants batted first.

Gulf Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Desert Vipers is the rest

Gulf Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Desert Vipers: 45% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.4: Khuzaima Tanveer to Rahmanullah Gurbaz, Rahmanullah Gurbaz out. Desert Vipers up from 45% to 56%.
1.6: Khuzaima Tanveer to JM Vince, JM Vince out. Desert Vipers up from 57% to 67%.
2nd inns 3.6: CP Wood to Hassan Nawaz, Hassan Nawaz out. Gulf Giants up from 36% to 49%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.