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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
22 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 57%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 1% to 57% during the match (Thailand: 43% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umer Imtiazcaught · Nopphon Senamontree · N Salekar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nopphon Senamontree · b N Salekar | 10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 76.92 |
| Asif Alicaught · N Nuntarach · N Salekar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Nuntarach · b N Salekar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Imran Anwarcaught · Akshaykumar Yadav · S Desungnoen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Akshaykumar Yadav · b S Desungnoen | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Fiaz Ahmedrun out · Akshaykumar Yadav, Y Saranonnakkun · N Salekar 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Akshaykumar Yadav, Y Saranonnakkun | 39 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 76.47 |
| Haider Buttcaught · S Desungnoen · Nopphon Senamontree 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Desungnoen · b Nopphon Senamontree | 20 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 76.92 |
| Sohail Ahmedlbw · S Desungnoen 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b S Desungnoen | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Ahmer Bin Nasircaught · Y Saranonnakkun · Sarawut Maliwan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Y Saranonnakkun · b Sarawut Maliwan | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Junaid Aziznot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Salekar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| S Desungnoen0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Chanchai Pengkumta0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| N Nuntarach0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Asif Ali, 0.5) · 2-11 (Imran Anwar, 1.5) · 3-15 (Umer Imtiaz, 2.5) · 4-52 (Haider Butt, 11.2) · 5-61 (Sohail Ahmed, 13.0) · 6-72 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 15.3) · 7-102 (Fiaz Ahmed, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 11/2 |
| 3 | 4 | 15/3 |
| 4 | 2 | 17/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 23/3 |
| 6 | 0 | 23/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 28/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 33/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 39/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 43/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 52/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 55/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 61/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 64/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 68/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 74/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 78/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 85/6 |
| 19 | 13 | 98/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 102/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.