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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
22 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 57%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 1% to 57% during the match (Thailand: 43% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavbowled · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Dawood | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisanbowled · Imran Khan (5) 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Imran Khan (5) | 19 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 135.71 |
| Y Saranonnakkuncaught · Umer Imtiaz · Ali Dawood 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Umer Imtiaz · b Ali Dawood | 22 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 122.22 |
| Austin Lazaruscaught · Imran Khan (5) · Sohail Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imran Khan (5) · b Sohail Ahmed | 16 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 76.19 |
| N Salekarcaught · Umer Imtiaz · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Umer Imtiaz · b Ali Dawood | 14 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 60.87 |
| caught · Asif Ali · b Sohail Ahmed |
| 10 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 58.82 |
| S Rungrueangcaught · Fiaz Ahmed · Sohail Ahmed 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Fiaz Ahmed · b Sohail Ahmed | 8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Chanchai Pengkumtanot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 7 | 0 | 1 | 171.43 |
|---|
| N Nuntarachbowled · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Dawood | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Nopphon Senamontreenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Khan (5)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sohail Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Akshaykumar Yadav, 0.2) · 2-41 (Y Saranonnakkun, 5.2) · 3-43 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 6.3) · 4-62 (Austin Lazarus, 11.0) · 5-81 (S Desungnoen, 15.2) · 6-89 (S Rungrueang, 17.2) · 7-93 (N Salekar, 18.1) · 8-101 (N Nuntarach, 19.0)
Recorded target: 103 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 43/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 46/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 54/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 62/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 67/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 73/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 76/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 80/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 82/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 89/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 93/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 101/8 |
| 20 | 2 | 103/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.