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Malaysia Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024 · Men
26 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 48%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 33% to 95% during the match (Malaysia: 5% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Coetzeecaught · Saif Ullah Malik · Pavandeep Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saif Ullah Malik · b Pavandeep Singh | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Zeeshan Alicaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Syed Aziz 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Syed Aziz | 25 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 156.25 |
| Nizakat Khancaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Syed Aziz 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Syed Aziz | 41 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 93.18 |
| Babar Hayatcaught · Ainool Hafizs · Muhammad Amir 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Ainool Hafizs · b Muhammad Amir | 48 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 141.18 |
| Anshuman Rathnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 163.64 |
| bowled · b Vijay Unni |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 200.00 |
| Rajab Hussainbowled · Syed Aziz 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Syed Aziz | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Ehsan Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Wafiq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Pavandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ahmed Aqeel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (Martin Coetzee, 1.4) · 2-39 (Zeeshan Ali, 5.0) · 3-123 (Babar Hayat, 15.4) · 4-138 (Nizakat Khan, 17.5) · 5-143 (Yasim Murtaza, 18.2) · 6-146 (Rajab Hussain, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 51/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 57/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 67/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 76/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 82/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 90/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 100/2 |
| 14 | 11 | 111/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 120/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 125/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 131/3 |
| 18 | 11 | 142/4 |
| 19 | 4 | 146/5 |
| 20 | 7 | 153/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.