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West Indies Women tour of Ireland · 2026 · Women
10 Jul 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 49%; Ireland batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Forbesrun out · Deandra Dottin · Jannillea Glasgow 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Deandra Dottin | 11 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 55.00 |
| Gaby Lewiscaught · Jahzara Claxton · Hayley Matthews 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jahzara Claxton · b Hayley Matthews | 39 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 81.25 |
| Amy Hunterbowled · Afy Fletcher 10 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Afy Fletcher | 96 | 90 | 10 | 1 | 106.67 |
| Orla Prendergastbowled · Afy Fletcher 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Afy Fletcher | 30 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 90.91 |
| Rebecca Stokellbowled · Hayley Matthews 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Hayley Matthews | 20 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 76.92 |
Ireland's chances ranged from 0% to 75% during the match (West Indies: 25% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Jahzara Claxton · b Hayley Matthews |
| 8 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 72.73 |
| Louise Littlestumped · Shemaine Campbelle · Jannillea Glasgow 1 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Shemaine Campbelle · b Jannillea Glasgow | 27 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 93.10 |
|---|
| Jane Maguirecaught · Realeanna Grimmond · Afy Fletcher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Realeanna Grimmond · b Afy Fletcher | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Georgina Dempseystumped · Shemaine Campbelle · Afy Fletcher 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shemaine Campbelle · b Afy Fletcher | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Cara Murraybowled · Karishma Ramharack 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Karishma Ramharack | 14 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Aimee Maguirenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 13 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannillea Glasgow0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Shawnisha Hector0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 4 | 1 |
 Deandra Dottin0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 7.00 | 4 | 0 |
 Hayley Matthews0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 52 | 3 | 5.20 | 0 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 4 | 4.90 | 0 | 0 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-38 (Sarah Forbes, 7.0) · 2-77 (Gaby Lewis, 15.4) · 3-146 (Orla Prendergast, 27.0) · 4-196 (Rebecca Stokell, 34.2) · 5-210 (Leah Paul, 37.0) · 6-224 (Amy Hunter, 39.2) · 7-224 (Jane Maguire, 39.5) · 8-232 (Georgina Dempsey, 41.1) · 9-264 (Louise Little, 47.2) · 10-269 (Cara Murray, 49.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 14 | 34/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 43/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 44/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 49/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 51/1 |
| 12 | 13 | 64/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 68/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 72/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 74/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 78/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 84/2 |
| 18 | 5 | 89/2 |
| 19 | 9 | 98/2 |
| 20 | 7 | 105/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 111/2 |
| 22 | 9 | 120/2 |
| 23 | 2 | 122/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 127/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 134/2 |
| 26 | 9 | 143/2 |
| 27 | 3 | 146/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 147/3 |
| 29 | 11 | 158/3 |
| 30 | 9 | 167/3 |
| 31 | 11 | 178/3 |
| 32 | 1 | 179/3 |
| 33 | 13 | 192/3 |
| 34 | 4 | 196/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 198/4 |
| 36 | 8 | 206/4 |
| 37 | 4 | 210/5 |
| 38 | 7 | 217/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 218/5 |
| 40 | 6 | 224/7 |
| 41 | 8 | 232/7 |
| 42 | 4 | 236/8 |
| 43 | 8 | 244/8 |
| 44 | 2 | 246/8 |
| 45 | 8 | 254/8 |
| 46 | 1 | 255/8 |
| 47 | 5 | 260/8 |
| 48 | 7 | 267/9 |
| 49 | 2 | 269/10 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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