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West Indies Women tour of Ireland · 2026 · Women
10 Jul 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 49%; Ireland batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hayley Matthewsnot out24 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 159* | 123 | 24 | 2 | 129.27 |
| Realeanna Grimmondcaught · Amy Hunter · Louise Little 11 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Louise Little | 91 | 107 | 11 | 0 | 85.05 |
 Stafanie Taylornot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 13 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|
Ireland's chances ranged from 0% to 75% during the match (West Indies: 25% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 5.83 | 4 | 0 |
|---|
| Jane Maguire0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 10.33 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Georgina Dempsey0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.4 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 5.88 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Aimee Maguire0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 8.00 | 5 | 0 |
|---|
| Cara Murray0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 6.43 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Louise Little0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
1-258 (Realeanna Grimmond, 37.2)
Recorded target: 270 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 28/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 42/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 50/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 59/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 62/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 67/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 72/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 78/0 |
| 12 | 9 | 87/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 89/0 |
| 14 | 11 | 100/0 |
| 15 | 6 | 106/0 |
| 16 | 3 | 109/0 |
| 17 | 2 | 111/0 |
| 18 | 10 | 121/0 |
| 19 | 4 | 125/0 |
| 20 | 10 | 135/0 |
| 21 | 6 | 141/0 |
| 22 | 7 | 148/0 |
| 23 | 11 | 159/0 |
| 24 | 6 | 165/0 |
| 25 | 4 | 169/0 |
| 26 | 6 | 175/0 |
| 27 | 4 | 179/0 |
| 28 | 14 | 193/0 |
| 29 | 3 | 196/0 |
| 30 | 10 | 206/0 |
| 31 | 11 | 217/0 |
| 32 | 14 | 231/0 |
| 33 | 10 | 241/0 |
| 34 | 4 | 245/0 |
| 35 | 4 | 249/0 |
| 36 | 6 | 255/0 |
| 37 | 3 | 258/0 |
| 38 | 5 | 263/1 |
| 39 | 7 | 270/1 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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