Brisbane HeatversusSydney Thunder

1 Nov 2026 · T20

Drummoyne Oval, Sydney · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sydney Thunder won by 6 wickets

Brisbane Heat20.0 overs178/5 Sydney Thunder16.4 overs180/4 Drummoyne Oval, Sydney ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Brisbane Heat started on 40%; Brisbane Heat batted first.

Brisbane Heat’s chance of winning (%) · Sydney Thunder is the rest

Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 0% to 76% during the match (Sydney Thunder: 24% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 2.5: O Prendergast to G Voll, G Voll out. Brisbane Heat up from 62% to 73%.
2nd inns 5.6: L Bassingthwaighte to P Litchfield, P Litchfield out. Brisbane Heat up from 55% to 68%.
2nd inns 12.3: LK Hamilton to A Learoyd, A Learoyd out. Brisbane Heat up from 23% to 33%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match highlights

All highlights →

1–1 of 1

Sydney Thunder v Brisbane Heat Highlights | WBBL|12 | Fox Cricket

Fox Cricket · Uploaded 2026-11-01

Brisbane Heat178/5 Sydney Thunder180/4

Innings 1

Brisbane Heat

178/520.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Brisbane Heat batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Charli Knottbowled · Samantha Bates 3 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Samantha Bates	16	11	3	0	145.45
Grace Harriscaught · Hannah Darlington · Georgia Voll 7 fours · 2 sixes	caught · Hannah Darlington · b Georgia Voll	58	37	7	2	156.76
Georgia Redmaynecaught · Jemma Barsby · Lauren Bell 4 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Jemma Barsby · b Lauren Bell	57	44	4	1	129.55
Yastika Bhatiacaught and bowled · Georgia Voll 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught and bowled · b Georgia Voll	1	3	0	0	33.33

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Samantha Bates0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	34	1	8.50	0
Lauren Bell0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	38	1	9.50	4
Hannah Darlington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	20	0	10.00	0
Jemma Barsby0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	25	0	8.33	0
Nadine de Klerk0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	34	1	8.50	0
Georgia Voll0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	25	2	8.33	2

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	7	7/0
2	8	15/0
3	9	24/1
4	8	32/1
5	11	43/1
6	5	48/1
7	3	51/1
8	6	57/1
9	12	69/1
10	11	80/1
11	14	94/1
12	13	107/1
13	9	116/1
14	4	120/3
15	9	129/3
16	9	138/3
17	5	143/3
18	16	159/3
19	9	168/4
20	10	178/5

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