Trinbago Knight RidersversusBarbados Royals

12 Sept 2025 · T20

Kensington Oval · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Barbados Royals won by 7 wickets

Trinbago Knight Riders20.0 overs166/8 Barbados Royals19.0 overs172/3 Kensington Oval ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Trinbago Knight Riders started on 59%; Trinbago Knight Riders batted first.

Trinbago Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Barbados Royals is the rest

Trinbago Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Barbados Royals: 33% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 16.1: AD Russell to R Powell, six by R Powell. Barbados Royals up from 57% to 71%.
2nd inns 16.6: AD Russell to R Powell, six by R Powell. Barbados Royals up from 69% to 83%.
2nd inns 18.2: KA Pollard to R Powell, six by R Powell. Barbados Royals up from 77% to 91%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Trinbago Knight Riders166/8 Barbados Royals172/3

Innings 1