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Myanmar tour of Bhutan · 2025/26 · Men
27 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bhutan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bhutan started on 84%; Bhutan batted first.
Bhutan's chances ranged from 80% to 100% during the match (Myanmar: 0% to 20%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyae Phyo Wailbw · Tashi Dorji 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tashi Dorji | 31 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 93.94 |
| Ko Ko Lin Thulbw · Sonam Yeshey 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sonam Yeshey | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 21.05 |
| Myat Thu Aungcaught · Ugyen Dorji · Anand Mongar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ugyen Dorji · b Anand Mongar | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.54 |
| Htet Lin Oobowled · Namgay Thinley 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Namgay Thinley | 14 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 73.68 |
| Htet Lin Aungcaught · Thinley Jamtsho · Anand Mongar 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thinley Jamtsho · b Anand Mongar | 13 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 118.18 |
| caught · Ranjung Mikyo Dorji · b Namgay Thinley |
| 6 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 85.71 |
| Thuya Aungnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 12 | 2 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Khin Ayecaught · Ranjung Mikyo Dorji · Namgay Thinley 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ranjung Mikyo Dorji · b Namgay Thinley | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Swann Htet Ko Konot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ugyen Dorji0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Sonam Yeshey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Thinley Jamtsho0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Anand Mongar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Tashi Dorji0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Namgay Thinley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 5.2) · 2-48 (Myat Thu Aung, 10.2) · 3-52 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 11.1) · 4-65 (Htet Lin Aung, 13.0) · 5-75 (Nay Lin Htun, 15.0) · 6-94 (Htet Lin Oo, 18.2) · 7-94 (Khin Aye, 18.5)
Recorded target: 224 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 29/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 34/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 37/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 45/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 47/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 52/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 61/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 65/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 69/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 75/5 |
| 16 | 1 | 76/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 79/5 |
| 18 | 14 | 93/5 |
| 19 | 1 | 94/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 102/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.