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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2026 · Men
10 Sept 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 44%; Nepal batted first.
Nepal's chances ranged from 7% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 93%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhbowled · Sandeep Lamichhane 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sandeep Lamichhane | 25 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 60.98 |
| Hasnain Ul Wahabstumped · Aasif Sheikh · Lalit Rajbanshi 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Aasif Sheikh · b Lalit Rajbanshi | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| K Sonavalecaught · D Khanal · Lalit Rajbanshi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Khanal · b Lalit Rajbanshi | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Hammad Mirzabowled · Sandeep Lamichhane 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sandeep Lamichhane | 5 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 11.90 |
| Jiten Ramanandibowled · Rohit Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rohit Kumar | 13 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 30.95 |
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught and bowled · b Dipendra Singh Airee |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Mujibur Alicaught · Dipendra Singh Airee · Rohit Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dipendra Singh Airee · b Rohit Kumar | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Jay Odedralbw · Sandeep Lamichhane 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sandeep Lamichhane | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · D Khanal · Dipendra Singh Airee 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Khanal · b Dipendra Singh Airee | 4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 26.67 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahcaught · Aasif Sheikh · Dipendra Singh Airee 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aasif Sheikh · b Dipendra Singh Airee | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Muhammed Imrannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lalit Rajbanshi2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 2.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Karan KC0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Sandeep Lamichhane1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sher Malla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Dipendra Singh Airee0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 1.83 | 1 | 0 |
 Rohit Kumar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1.68 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Hasnain Ul Wahab, 0.4) · 2-9 (K Sonavale, 2.2) · 3-29 (Hammad Mirza, 12.2) · 4-43 (Jatinder Singh, 18.1) · 5-44 (Vinayak Shukla, 19.1) · 6-45 (Mujibur Ali, 20.1) · 7-50 (Jay Odedra, 21.2) · 8-58 (Shakeel Ahmed, 26.0) · 9-60 (Hassnain Shah, 27.5) · 10-60 (Jiten Ramanandi, 28.1)
Recorded target: 148 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 11/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 11/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 17/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 19/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 20/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 25/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 27/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 28/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 13 | 0 | 29/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 33/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 34/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 39/3 |
| 17 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 43/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 44/4 |
| 20 | 1 | 45/5 |
| 21 | 1 | 46/6 |
| 22 | 4 | 50/7 |
| 23 | 5 | 55/7 |
| 24 | 1 | 56/7 |
| 25 | 1 | 57/7 |
| 26 | 1 | 58/8 |
| 27 | 1 | 59/8 |
| 28 | 1 | 60/9 |
| 29 | 0 | 60/10 |
Gulsan Jha: Elison Pokhrel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karan KC: Helloworld3377 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
