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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
27 May 2026 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 43%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Leicestershire: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Alex Green | 49 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 204.17 |
| Martin Anderssoncaught · Liam Trevaskis · Ashton Turner 9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Liam Trevaskis · b Ashton Turner | 57 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 196.55 |
| Caleb Jewellnot out 6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 58* | 35 | 6 | 1 | 165.71 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ian Holland | 22 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 129.41 |
| caught and bowled · b Ian Holland |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Matthew Montgomerycaught · Rishi Patel · Ben Green 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rishi Patel · b Ben Green | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 207.69 |
|---|
| AS Basranot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 11* | 3 | 1 | 1 | 366.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hull0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Trevaskis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 15.67 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 15.00 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-78 (Aneurin Donald, 6.1) · 2-121 (Martin Andersson, 10.3) · 3-155 (Wayne Madsen, 14.5) · 4-155 (Ross Whiteley, 15.0) · 5-217 (Matthew Montgomery, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 45/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 57/0 |
| 6 | 21 | 78/0 |
| 7 | 18 | 96/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 104/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 114/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 120/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 126/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 133/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 139/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 147/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 155/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 167/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 175/4 |
| 18 | 24 | 199/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 211/4 |
| 20 | 19 | 230/5 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Green: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ian Holland: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.