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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
27 May 2026 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 43%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Leicestershire: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · Ross Whiteley · Ben Aitchison 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Ben Aitchison | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Rishi Patelcaught · AS Basra · Jack Morley 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AS Basra · b Jack Morley | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Nick Kellybowled · Ben Aitchison 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Aitchison | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ashton Turnercaught · Ross Whiteley · Martin Andersson5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Martin Andersson | 53 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 240.91 |
 |
| caught · Ross Whiteley · b Martin Andersson |
| 34 |
| 21 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 161.90 |
| Ben Greencaught · Ross Whiteley · Martin Andersson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Martin Andersson | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Liam Trevaskiscaught · AS Basra · Martin Andersson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AS Basra · b Martin Andersson | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Ben Mikenot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 19* | 12 | 1 | 1 | 158.33 |
|---|
 Ian Hollandcaught and bowled · Martin Andersson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Martin Andersson | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Josh Hullcaught and bowled · Martin Andersson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Martin Andersson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Alex Greenrun out · AS Basra, Matthew Montgomery · Matthew Montgomery0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · AS Basra, Matthew Montgomery | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Morley0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Ben Aitchison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Akif Javed0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 16.00 | 2 | 2 |
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 14.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Potts0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-5 (Rishi Patel, 1.0) · 2-5 (Stephen Eskinazi, 1.2) · 3-6 (Nick Kelly, 1.5) · 4-98 (Ashton Turner, 8.1) · 5-99 (Ben Cox, 8.4) · 6-111 (Liam Trevaskis, 10.4) · 7-127 (Ben Green, 13.0) · 8-137 (Ian Holland, 14.3) · 9-138 (Josh Hull, 14.4) · 10-145 (Alex Green, 15.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 6/3 |
| 3 | 17 | 23/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 29/3 |
| 5 | 20 | 49/3 |
| 6 | 18 | 67/3 |
| 7 | 15 | 82/3 |
| 8 | 16 | 98/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 101/5 |
| 10 | 8 | 109/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 113/6 |
| 12 | 5 | 118/6 |
| 13 | 9 | 127/7 |
| 14 | 6 | 133/7 |
| 15 | 7 | 140/9 |
| 16 | 5 | 145/10 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Green: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ian Holland: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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