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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier A · 2026/27 · Men
5 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 85%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 27% to 98% during the match (Thailand: 2% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavbowled · Asif Javed 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Asif Javed | 19 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisancaught · P Kurup · Ali Dawood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Kurup · b Ali Dawood | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Phiriyapong Suanchuaibowled · Asif Javed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Asif Javed | 6 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Austin Lazaruscaught · Asif Ali · Abdul Majeed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asif Ali · b Abdul Majeed | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Phanuphong Thongsastumped · P Kurup · Abdul Majeed 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · P Kurup · b Abdul Majeed | 21 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 70.00 |
| bowled · b Asif Javed |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Pattarapol Jirapatananukulbowled · Rizwan Butt 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Rizwan Butt | 23 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 92.00 |
|---|
| Chanchai Pengkumtanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 12 | 1 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Phatummakan Donkaewrun out · P Kurup, Rizwan Butt · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Kurup, Rizwan Butt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Rizwan Butt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Javed1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 4.1) · 2-31 (Akshaykumar Yadav, 6.4) · 3-34 (Austin Lazarus, 7.2) · 4-42 (Phiriyapong Suanchuai, 10.1) · 5-42 (Mukesh Thakur, 10.3) · 6-66 (Phanuphong Thongsa, 15.5) · 7-94 (Pattarapol Jirapatananukul, 19.4) · 8-97 (Phatummakan Donkaew, 20.0)
Recorded target: 105 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 29/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 29/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 33/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 36/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 40/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 42/3 |
| 11 | 0 | 42/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 45/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 51/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 57/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 61/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 66/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 74/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 82/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 87/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 97/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.