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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
16 Jun 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 45%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Daviescaught · Wayne Madsen · Patrick Brown 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Wayne Madsen · b Patrick Brown | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 145.45 |
| Rob Yatesbowled · Daryn Dupavillon 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daryn Dupavillon | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Dan Mousleynot out 7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 66* | 53 | 7 | 1 | 124.53 |
| Sam Hainbowled · Patrick Brown 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Patrick Brown | 43 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 102.38 |
| Chris Benjaminnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daryn Dupavillon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Zak Chappell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.5 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 8.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Wayne Madsen0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Mitch Wagstaff0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Rob Yates, 0.4) · 2-35 (Alex Davies, 3.5) · 3-128 (Sam Hain, 17.2)
Recorded target: 134 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 35/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 45/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 55/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 63/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 69/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 73/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 79/2 |
| 13 | 11 | 90/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 100/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 107/2 |
| 16 | 10 | 117/2 |
| 17 | 9 | 126/2 |
| 18 | 4 | 130/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 136/3 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Mitch Wagstaff: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
