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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
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Ireland Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2023/24 · Women
2 Feb 2024 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 67%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 7% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 1% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelis Ndhlovubowled · Leah Paul 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Leah Paul | 32 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 84.21 |
| Mary-Anne Musondabowled · Orla Prendergast 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Orla Prendergast | 52 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 120.93 |
| Pellagia Mujajilbw · Orla Prendergast 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Orla Prendergast | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Chiedza Dhururucaught · Amy Hunter · Laura Delany 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Laura Delany | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Loren Tshumabowled · Orla Prendergast 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Orla Prendergast | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| bowled · b Laura Delany |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 133.33 |
 Precious Marangelbw · Laura Delany0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Laura Delany | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| M Mavunganot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 109.09 |
|---|
| Nomvelo Sibandarun out · Gaby Lewis, Joanna Loughran · Laura Delany 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Gaby Lewis, Joanna Loughran | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Francisca Chiparenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Dalzell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Cara Murray0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Leah Paul0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-77 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 11.4) · 2-99 (Mary-Anne Musonda, 14.3) · 3-100 (Pellagia Mujaji, 15.0) · 4-100 (Chiedza Dhururu, 15.1) · 5-104 (B Biza, 15.4) · 6-106 (Loren Tshuma, 16.4) · 7-106 (Precious Marange, 17.1) · 8-121 (Nomvelo Sibanda, 19.1)
Recorded target: 139 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 33/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 42/0 |
| 7 | 11 | 53/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 60/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 65/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 69/0 |
| 11 | 7 | 76/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 78/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 86/1 |
| 14 | 10 | 96/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 105/5 |
| 17 | 1 | 106/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 110/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 120/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 124/8 |
Precious Marange: Foreign and Commonwealth Office · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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