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Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
15 Jul 2026 · T20
The Rose Bowl, Southampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Hampshire started on 59%; Hampshire batted first.
Hampshire's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Essex: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Waltercaught and bowled · Sonny Baker 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sonny Baker | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Toby Albert · Sonny Baker 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Toby Albert · b Sonny Baker | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Andrew Neal · Sonny Baker 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Neal · b Sonny Baker | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
| CWJ Allisoncaught · Hilton Cartwright · James Fuller 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b James Fuller | 44 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Scott Currie · James Fuller 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Scott Currie · b James Fuller | 17 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 121.43 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught · James Fuller · Andrew Neal1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · James Fuller · b Andrew Neal |
| 13 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 86.67 |
 Simon Harmerlbw · Sonny Baker0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sonny Baker | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| NRM Thaincaught · Hilton Cartwright · Scott Currie 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Scott Currie | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Shane Snaterbowled · Sonny Baker0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sonny Baker | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| CE Bennettnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 11 | 2 | 0 | 127.27 |
|---|
 Sam Cooknot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Wood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Sonny Baker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Andrew Neal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| James Fuller0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-11 (Paul Walter, 1.2) · 2-15 (Jordan Cox, 1.4) · 3-24 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 3.3) · 4-66 (Luc Benkenstein, 7.5) · 5-94 (Matthew Critchley, 12.4) · 6-100 (CWJ Allison, 13.5) · 7-104 (Simon Harmer, 14.4) · 8-110 (Shane Snater, 16.2) · 9-119 (NRM Thain, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 16/2 |
| 3 | 3 | 19/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 25/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 31/3 |
| 6 | 18 | 49/3 |
| 7 | 13 | 62/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 66/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 70/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 79/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 84/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 91/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 95/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 101/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 104/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 109/7 |
| 17 | 6 | 115/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 119/9 |
| 19 | 13 | 132/9 |
| 20 | 4 | 136/9 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
