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Photo: Crico
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Women
3 Dec 2025 · T20
Drummoyne Oval, Sydney · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 47%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 20% to 100% during the match (Brisbane Heat: 0% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 3 Dec 2025, Sydney Thunder played Brisbane Heat at Drummoyne Oval, Sydney. Recorded result: Sydney Thunder won by 23 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.