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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
30 May 2024 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 37%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 39% during the match (Lancashire: 61% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · Chris Green · Tom Aspinwall1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Green · b Tom Aspinwall | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 76.92 |
 Alex Leescaught · Tom Aspinwall · Luke Wood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Aspinwall · b Luke Wood | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Ollie Robinsonbowled · Chris Green0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Green | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Colin Ackermanncaught · Tom Bruce · Tom Aspinwall0 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Tom Bruce · b Tom Aspinwall |
| 7 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 77.78 |
 Ben Rainecaught and bowled · Jack Blatherwick3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jack Blatherwick | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 171.43 |
|---|
 Ashton Turnercaught · Steven Croft · Tom Aspinwall0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steven Croft · b Tom Aspinwall | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Michael Jonesbowled · Tom Aspinwall0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Aspinwall | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Matthew Pottscaught · Steven Croft · Jack Blatherwick2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steven Croft · b Jack Blatherwick | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 107.14 |
|---|
| Ben Dwarshuiscaught · Tom Bruce · Luke Wood 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Bruce · b Luke Wood | 13 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 81.25 |
|---|
| Nathan Sowtercaught · Chris Green · Jack Blatherwick 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Green · b Jack Blatherwick | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Callum Parkinsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2.80 | 1 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Stanley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-13 (Alex Lees, 2.3) · 2-15 (Ollie Robinson, 3.2) · 3-17 (Graham Clark, 4.1) · 4-30 (Ben Raine, 5.3) · 5-31 (Ashton Turner, 6.2) · 6-31 (Michael Jones, 6.3) · 7-49 (Colin Ackermann, 8.5) · 8-54 (Matthew Potts, 10.2) · 9-56 (Nathan Sowter, 11.0) · 10-75 (Ben Dwarshuis, 14.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 22/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 31/4 |
| 7 | 1 | 32/6 |
| 8 | 8 | 40/6 |
| 9 | 9 | 49/7 |
| 10 | 5 | 54/7 |
| 11 | 2 | 56/9 |
| 12 | 12 | 68/9 |
| 13 | 3 | 71/9 |
| 14 | 4 | 75/9 |
| 15 | 0 | 75/10 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Steven Croft: AMBerry · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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