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Photo: Jgritz~commonswiki (Commons uploader; file has no author field)
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Women
29 Nov 2025 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 43%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 1% to 81% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 19% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Katie Mackcaught · Nicola Carey · Molly Strano0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicola Carey · b Molly Strano | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Beth Mooneyrun out · Lizelle Lee, Rachel Trenaman · Heather Graham10 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Lizelle Lee, Rachel Trenaman | 75 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 136.36 |
 Maddy Darkecaught · Nicola Carey · Molly Strano1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicola Carey · b Molly Strano | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
 |
| caught · Hayley Silver-Holmes · b Linsey Smith |
| 28 |
| 24 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 116.67 |
| Freya Kempcaught · Nicola Carey · Nat Sciver-Brunt 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicola Carey · b Nat Sciver-Brunt | 34 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 154.55 |
|---|
 Paige Scholfieldnot out4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 26* | 13 | 4 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 14 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Molly Strano0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Nicola Carey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Hayley Silver-Holmes0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 7 | 0 |
 Lauren Smith0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Heather Graham0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Linsey Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Nat Sciver-Brunt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-0 (Katie Mack, 0.1) · 2-4 (Maddy Darke, 1.0) · 3-70 (Sophie Devine, 8.4) · 4-116 (Freya Kemp, 14.3) · 5-186 (Beth Mooney, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/2 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 10 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 15 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 11 | 44/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 53/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 68/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 71/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 76/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 85/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 96/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 105/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 115/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 122/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 135/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 141/4 |
| 18 | 16 | 157/4 |
| 19 | 16 | 173/4 |
| 20 | 13 | 186/5 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Darke: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Edgar: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chloe Ainsworth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Devine: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Hayley Silver-Holmes: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Molly Strano: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Elyse Villani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lizelle Lee: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lilly Mills: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicola Carey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Katie Mack: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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