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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier Group C · 2024/25 · Men
24 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
St Helena more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Eswatini started on 39%; Eswatini batted first.
Eswatini's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (St Helena: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Crowienot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 54* | 53 | 4 | 1 | 101.89 |
| A Yoncaught · Umair Qasim · M Khojbariya 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Umair Qasim · b M Khojbariya | 24 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 92.31 |
| D Young (2)caught · Muhammad Amin · Umair Qasim 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Amin · b Umair Qasim | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| R Francisbowled · Umair Qasim 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Umair Qasim | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| J Essexlbw · Umair Qasim 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Umair Qasim | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| B Isaacbowled · R Sandeep0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b R Sandeep |
| 16 |
| 26 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 61.54 |
| AR Leonot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 5 | 1 | 1 | 240.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 10 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adil Butt (2)0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 1 | 0 |
| M Jele0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 6 | 1 |
| R Sandeep0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Umair Qasim0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| M Khojbariya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| M Magagula0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 2 | 0 |
1-51 (A Yon, 8.0) · 2-52 (D Young (2), 8.3) · 3-52 (R Francis, 8.4) · 4-66 (J Essex, 10.5) · 5-113 (B Isaac, 19.1)
Recorded target: 174 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 41/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 45/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 49/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 51/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 52/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 58/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 66/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 71/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 73/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 80/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 84/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 91/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 101/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 107/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 113/4 |
| 20 | 12 | 125/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.