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Photo: G patkar
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Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
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ICC Men's T20 World Cup · 2025/26 · Men
11 Feb 2026 · T20
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 11%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 5% to 100% during the match (England: 0% to 95%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 11 Feb 2026, West Indies played England at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai. Recorded result: West Indies won by 30 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.