St Lucia KingsversusGuyana Amazon Warriors

9 Sept 2026 · T20

Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Guyana Amazon Warriors won by 4 wickets

St Lucia Kings18.5 overs119/10 Guyana Amazon Warriors18.3 overs122/6 Providence Stadium, Guyana ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

St Lucia Kings started on 38%; St Lucia Kings batted first.

St Lucia Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Guyana Amazon Warriors is the rest

St Lucia Kings's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (Guyana Amazon Warriors: 50% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.3: KIC Asalanka to SO Hetmyer, six by SO Hetmyer. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 57% to 70%.
2nd inns 15.6: KIC Asalanka to Q Sampson, six by Q Sampson. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 71% to 89%.
2nd inns 17.4: RL Chase to Q Sampson, six by Q Sampson. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 75% to 90%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.